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2014: Last Chance to Conquer The Crash, by Mr. Robert R Prechter Jr
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No book forecast the financial turmoil in 2002-03 and 2007-08 as early and in as much detail as the first and second editions of Bob Prechter's Conquer the Crash. It became a New York Times bestseller. More than 100,000 people read it in time to protect their wealth. Conquer the Crash foresaw and explained the debt crisis, collapse in home prices, the two-bear-market-in-one-decade stock declines, the demise of Fannie and Freddie, the Federal Reserve's failure to turn the trend, and lots more. Conquer the Crash 3rd edition is a book-length forecast that's still coming true -- only some of the future has caught up with the specific predictions Prechter published. There is much more to come, which is why it remains your best resource for practical "How To," "What To" and "Should You" advice to help you survive and prosper in this long-term bear market. If you own an earlier edition, you already know it was a financial lifesaver in 2002 and 2007. Yet as 2014-2015 unfold, the third edition will prove itself the most imperative of all. No investment volume can match the fearless candor of Prechter's analysis regarding the months and years ahead. You can (and should) get your hands on Conquer the Crash immediately. As Bob explains in the book, bear markets are much shorter affairs than bull markets. They bring the kind of destruction that can ruin anyone who ignores the warning signs. It can take decades not years to recoup losses. It's more important than ever to take action now.
- Sales Rank: #878424 in Books
- Published on: 2014-07-17
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.00" h x .96" w x 6.00" l,
- Binding: Paperback
- 424 pages
- No book forecast the financial turmoil in 2002-03 and 2007-08 as early and in as much detail as the first and second editions of Bob Prechter's Conquer the Crash. It became a New York Times bestseller. More than 100,000 people read it in time to protect their wealth. Conquer the Crash foresaw and explained the debt crisis, collapse in home prices, the two-bear-market-in-one-decade stock declines, the demise of Fannie and Freddie, the Federal Reserve's failure to turn the trend, and lots more. Conquer the Crash 3rd edition is a book-length forecast that's still coming true -- only some of the future has caught up with the specific predictions Prechter published. There is much more to come, which is why it remains your best resource for practical "How To," "What To" and "Should You" advice to help you survive and prosper in this long-term bear market. If you own an earlier edition, you already know it was a financial lifesaver in 2002 and 2007. Yet as 2014-2015 unfold, the third edition will prove itself the most imperative of all. No investment volume can match the fearless candor of Prechter's analysis regarding the months and years ahead. You can (and should) get your hands on Conquer the Crash immediately. As Bob explains in the book, bear markets are much shorter affairs than bull markets. They bring the kind of destruction that can ruin anyone who ignores the warning signs. It can take decades - not years - to recoup losses. It's more important than ever to take action now.
Review
From 2002: This book outlines brilliantly and simply the rationale for how and why the bubble developed. Prechter will go down in history as a legend for having predicted the secular bull market and now having provided a lucid description of the economic cataclysm that unfortunately lies ahead. I urge you to read this book and give it to your loved ones. It provides great tactical advice on how to prepare yourself financially. Reading this book could make the difference between agony and comfort over the next 20 years. --David Tice, President, Prudent Bear Funds
From 2004: Prechter can take credit as the godfather of the modern deflation theory. - Kirk Washington, Benchmark magazine From 2009: Rooted in decades of serious research, published in 2002, this book was a frighteningly accurate predictor of the 2008 crash. It explains the big picture of how economic conditions ebb and flow over time, how to profit from them and how to avoid getting caught in the inevitable squeezes that wipe out the unwary (i.e. 99% of the world). - Ken McCarthy, The Independence Day Blueprint --Kirk Washington, Ken McCarthy
From 2004: Prechter can take credit as the godfather of the modern deflation theory. - Kirk Washington, Benchmark magazine From 2009: Rooted in decades of serious research, published in 2002, this book was a frighteningly accurate predictor of the 2008 crash. It explains the big picture of how economic conditions ebb and flow over time, how to profit from them and how to avoid getting caught in the inevitable squeezes that wipe out the unwary (i.e. 99% of the world). - Ken McCarthy, The Independence Day Blueprint --Kirk Washington, Ken McCarthy
About the Author
Robert Prechter, Jr., is a social theorist and market analyst. He is President of Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com), a publishing firm serving investors around the world. Prechter has authored 14 books. His Elliott Wave Principle (1978) with A.J. Frost predicted the great bull market. Conquer the Crash (first edition, 2002) forecasted the unprecedented financial meltdowns that followed in 2002 and 2008. He thinks there is one more meltdown to go, by far the biggest yet. Prechter s two-book set Socionomics (1999/2003) presents his seminal hypothesis that endogenously regulated waves of social mood determine the character of social actions. His Socionomics Institute (socionomics.net) is dedicated to explaining and applying socionomic theory. For more information, please visit RobertPrechter.com
Most helpful customer reviews
16 of 18 people found the following review helpful.
I've seen all of this before -- 27 years ago!
By TraderF
I subscribed to Prechter in the late 1980s and the '87 crash caught him by surprise. People phoning in to his advisory service the day before the crash were given bullish advice. But after the crash he declared the beginning of the Grand Supercycle Bear Market (which he has declared again several times since as the market has kept making new highs). He completely missed the '88 and '89 bull markets. I think he has missed most of the ones since, and he has continued to publish bearish books.
All these preparations for survival sound like the ones he had in 1988. He says that you can't get hurt if you follow his advice. Maybe so, but you sure would have missed a number of great opportunities to profit in some very strong bull markets in stocks.
Why has Prechter been bearish and wrong for most of his nearly 40-year career? Consider these words from Larry Williams in his book, "Long-Term Secrets to Short-Term Trading" http://www.amazon.com/Long-Term-Secrets-Short-Term-Trading-Williams/dp/0471297224/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1427818898&sr=1-2&keywords=williams+long+term+secrets :
"Yes, there are times to be bearish on stock and the economy, but there's an entire camp of newsletter writers making a pretty good living by deliberately pandering to fears of doom and gloom, of another 1929 ... starting tomorrow. I know these folks, I have appeared at the same symposiums with them, and I have seen them consistently bearish, in one case, since 1962! One of these 'Negative Nellies', in a private conversation told me there was a huge market of investors who feared the future, actually believed things were falling apart quickly and it was his business to flame these fires. He added, 'It's easier to sell subscriptions to these people, they are an easy-to-target market, and if I'm wrong on stock picks, it doesn't matter, performance does not count, it's reaffirming their belief that they want to hear.'"
This deserves 1 star but he gets 2 because maybe he'll be right this time. No one knows. But I suggest brain-dead trend following which has a far better track record -- and will have you out of the market or short for most of the next bear market, which for certain will arrive someday.
8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
A Must Read in Today's Crazy Economic Times
By TAH1H2
I first read the 2004 Conquer the Crash in late 2008. It was an eye opener. I wish I had read it sooner. This new version adds a few updates so if you read the older versions, there is really no need to get this one unless you want all the latest updates and outlooks.
For those skeptics who say Prechter has been preaching doom and gloom since the 80s, I have a few things to say about that.
- I have no idea if he called the '87 crash or not, at this point it's irrelevant.
- When everyone else was yelling and screaming for inflation and hyperinflation as a result of all the QE, he was the only one who has been consistent on calling for deflation
- When all economists and central bankers to this day swear that deflation will not happen and could not happen, it is starting to happen as Prechter said it would,; first in Europe and then exported to the US and the rest of the world... hello people, what do negative interest rates mean?! (hint: deflation)
- He said central banks will lose control and then they will lose trust, which will lead to the next major downturn. The evidence is already present... central banks are losing control just by the fact that deflation is now being seen in several markets
- Prechter called the top in Gold and Silver in 2011... I was so skeptical when I read his report on this since I was into metals trading in a big way at the time... I bit the bullet and sold all my digital and physical silver (I'm not giving up my physical gold!). The guys at the trading company said I was nuts for selling silver at $38 (in 2011). I told them silver is headed below $20 and they all laughed at me... they were so happy to take my physical silver so I was happy too. Today, I'm looking to get back into silver at around $10 and will buy more physical gold below $1000. Bottom line, Prechter nailed it on the metals.
- The biggest mistake people try to make with his advice is to try to convert it into daily trading strategies. It doesn't work like this. I sold my silver at around $38, but it didn't drop right away, it's had a wave of ups and downs since 2011 ending up at $16 today. The same goes for trying to trade on his advice of the Dow falling to below 1000. I'm sure it will happen, but you can't trade the market with this advice, you just need to be cautious and realize (if you believe in deflation) that it will eventually end up there after a bunch of ups and downs.
- Overall, Prechter is right about his predictions on asset prices, debt, commodities, the stock market, home prices...etc. This book is an excellent resource for anyone wanting to see what the future holds, protect what you have and prepare for the bargains of your lifetime!
6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Practical Steps to Conquer the Crash by Prechter
By Colm K. Dillon
This is Robert's updated version and having bought his first book of the same title I just had to get the extra hundred pages. His measured analysis from past history and reading of the future is breathtakingly accurate and a real education. I recommend him and all his books to all my thinking friends.
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